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A year and a half ago, CNN released a half-joking story that compared the width of the legs of the classic “dictatorial” costumes of US President Donald Trump and DPRK President Kim Jong-un. “Forget about the arms race – we are talking about the trouser race,” CNN said.
It seems that the scandal surrounding the White House the other day with invisible participation of U.S. intelligence representatives could return Trump’s favorite red baseball cap and send it ahead of schedule to his unfinished construction sites.
The reason for this is all the same “Make America great again” that Trump himself interprets as Niccolo Machiavelli – the end justifies the means. And for the selfish purposes of the current president of the United States – the primacy of his own interests over the state and the cult of his own personality, sometimes bordering on rudeness, which leads to a sharp contrast between his policies and the state apparatus.
To understand what is happening, you need to restore a brief chronology of previous events.
07/25/2019 a telephone conversation took place between Donald Trump and Vladimir Zelensky. About the content below.
08/22/2019 in Madrid, a meeting between lawyer Donald Trump Rudi Giuliani and assistant to Vladimir Zelensky Andrei Ermak. The conversation consisted of two questions that are of interest to Trump. The first concerns rumors that Ukrainian departments helped Hillary Clinton in the 2016 elections. The second is connected with the influence of Joe Biden on Ukrainian politicians when he was the vice president of the USA and the work of his son in the gas company Burisma.
08/29/2019 The US Presidential Administration suspended the allocation of $ 250 million of military assistance to Ukraine as part of the Ukrainian Security Assistance Initiative program and scheduled an audit.
09.09.2019 CNN announced the CIA conducted a secret operation in 2017 to evacuate agent Oleg Smolenkov from Russia, whom Donald Trump could decipher during a meeting on May 10, 2017 with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Russian Ambassador to the United States Sergei Kislyak. The Washington Post later reported that the level of secrecy of Trump’s information at that meeting was so high that it wasn’t even shared with US allies.
On the same day, the Washington Post and New York Times reported that according to a complaint filed on August 12 by an unidentified White House intelligence officer, Donald Trump, in a telephone conversation on July 25, tried to force Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky to intervene in the US presidential election, opening an investigation into Hunter Biden (son of former US Vice President Joe Biden) and his role in the Ukrainian gas company Burisma Holdings.
The Wall Street Journal clarified that Donald Trump during a conversation with Vladimir Zelensky at least eight times called the name of presidential candidate Joe Biden, calling for an investigation into Ukraine against his son.
Michael Atkinson, Inspector General of Intelligence Services, essentially notified the relevant Congressional committees.
On the same day, Adam Schiff, Eliot Engel and Elijah Cummings (all from the Democratic Party) of the House of Representatives of the House of Representatives of the US Congress on Intelligence, Foreign Affairs and Oversight announced the beginning of an investigation into U.S. intelligence reports of attempts by Donald Trump and his lawyer Rudi Giuliani on the Ukrainian government in order to improve its position on the eve of the 2020 presidential campaign. They sent a request to provide them with a complete transcript and a list of participants in the conversation to find out if the Trump administration forced Kiev to conduct politically motivated investigations disguised as anti-corruption activities, threatening to refuse military assistance.
09/12/2019 The U.S. State Department approved the allocation of $ 141.5 million of military assistance to Ukraine separately from defense assistance of $ 250 million.
On September 19, 2019, the intelligence committee of the U.S. House of Representatives closed hearing the Inspector General of the intelligence community regarding a complaint about Trump’s conversation.
On the same day, the House of Representatives of the US Congress approved a bill that would unlock the allocation of $ 250 million worth of military assistance to Ukraine. Its final approval in the Senate is scheduled for next week.
09/20/2019 U.S. President’s personal lawyer Rudy Giuliani, during an interview with CNN, admitted that he was trying to put pressure on representatives of the Ukrainian government to initiate an investigation into Joe Biden’s family. In follow-up, CNN said the US Presidential Administration and the Department of Justice are stopping Congress from getting all the information about the possible pressure from the US leader on his Ukrainian counterpart.
On the same day, an appeal to impeach Trump became popular in the American media once again.
In all this heap of events, the sources of “tornado” in the media are precisely the representatives of US intelligence services. Obviously not by accident.
It is known that Donald Trump throughout the presidential term was in a state of latent or open confrontation with the intelligence community. Over the past three years, he fired three national security advisers – Michael Flynn (after the scandal with Flyn’s contacts with Russia and receiving large sums from Russian companies), Herbert McMaster and John Bolton.
In August, Donald Trump fired Daniel Coates from the post of head of National Intelligence and tried to appoint Congressman Republican John Ratcliffe, who was blindly betrayed to Trump himself and actively criticized Special Prosecutor Robert Muller, who was investigating the “Russian case”. But he did not receive approval in the Senate.
The climax of the confrontation was the events of January this year. 01/23/2019 the then Director of National Intelligence of the United States Daniel Coates in the new edition of the “National Intelligence Strategy” announced a menacing increase in Russia’s influence in the world. And on January 29, 2019, he, together with CIA Director Gina Haspel and FBI Head Christopher Ray, presented a report on US security threats at a hearing in the Senate Intelligence Committee. In it, in particular, it was said about the haste of statements about the complete victory over the IG * in Syria and Iraq, the premature withdrawal of the United States from a nuclear deal with Iran, since Tehran fully complies with all the conditions of international agreements, as well as about the active process of arming the DPRK. Daniel Coates also said that Russia has great capabilities in the field of cyber attacks and cyber espionage, and is also capable of conducting influence operations to achieve military and political goals.
All this sharply contrasted with the statements of Trump himself and his own ideas about the situation on the planet.
The head of the White House sharply criticized these reports and advised the scouts to go to school to finish their studies. The insulted intelligence officers gave the president the nickname “mental bankruptcy” and from that moment the confrontation went into the open phase – mutual accusations were no longer hidden behind the diplomatic knock of heels. “The president has a dangerous habit of undermining the intelligence community in order to fit it into his alternative reality,” said then deputy chairman of the US Senate Intelligence Committee, Mark Warner.
Obviously, the sharp, public and destructive for the States confrontation between Donald Trump and the US political establishment, in the mainstream of which intelligence works, prompted the intelligence community to more decisive actions. I am sure that the desire of the special services to prevent the repetition of the “Dick Cheney effect” when the data on weapons of mass destruction fabricated under his pressure served as the beginning of an expensive and bloody operation in Iraq played an important role here.
The Washington Post wrote in due time that one of the reasons for Trump’s conflict with intelligence might be the fear that security services pose a danger to him and may damage his reputation or prevent him from achieving his personal goals. According to many experts, American intelligence agencies in general can remove their president, having significant financial, media and specific resources. And we are now witnessing the resumption of this process after the Helsinki summit.
In this case, it doesn’t matter anymore that Joseph Biden claimed back in 2015 that his son Hunter had nothing to do with corruption schemes in Ukraine, and Donald Trump rejected the accusations against him and called them “fake news” on Twitter.
But if it turns out that the story published in the media is true, it means that Trump used his power and US resources to pressure the sovereign state – a partner of the United States. He also provided secret information to the enemy state.
Further clarification of these issues largely depends on the position of the White House.
The fact is that at the beginning of March of this year, the White House legal adviser already rejected a Congressional request for the materials of negotiations between the American and Russian presidents in Finland in 2018, which Donald Trump seized and tried to destroy.
According to the chairmen of the congressional committees of the United States, such actions by the White House and the State Department deny the legislature the necessary oversight, ignore the Constitution and case law, and also allow the Trump administration to “continue the alarming behavior model.”
I would not exaggerate the exceptional importance of Ukraine in the presidential campaigns in the USA, both in 2016 and 2020. All this “significance” is far-fetched by egoism and a thirst for power at any cost to the current tenant of the Oval Office.
US presidential election does not depend on Ukraine!
Undoubtedly, the head of the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry, Vadim Priestayko, denies the fact of Donald Trump’s pressure on Vladimir Zelensky during the July telephone conversation.
And what else can official Kiev say on the eve of the meeting of the two presidents on September 25, as well as the speech of Vladimir Zelensky at the UN General Assembly?
This visit has already been overshadowed by absolutely unnecessary aspects for Ukraine, or rather, the threat of being drawn into an inter-party confrontation between Republicans and Democrats in the outbreak of the US presidential race, which threatens our country with the loss of support for one of the parties to the Congress.
Given the scale of the scandal, American society and leading media outlets will wait for the Ukrainian side to clarify the situation on possible pressure from its president, and not on the prospects for resolving the military-political confrontation with Russia. And the problems of Donbass and Crimea need to be solved now, and not a year later with the next Administration.
But even so, it was Joseph Biden who promised to make Ukraine a priority of international politics if he wins the election in 2020.
The more powerful role of the United States along with France and Germany in negotiations with Russia, strengthening Ukraine’s defense capabilities, increasing Western investment, supporting Kiev’s energy independence from Moscow will become the basis of Washington’s foreign policy under Biden.
“Our strategic goal is to support the evolution of a unified, sovereign Ukraine and make the Kremlin pay the price for constant attacks on the international order,” the Democrat candidate said.
But if the White House and the State Department still provide Congress with telephone recordings on July 25, as well as materials from Trump Putin’s talks in Helsinki, Joseph Biden could have a very real chance of becoming forty-six before the first Tuesday of November, when the President is traditionally elected .
And the merit in this will belong to the US establishment, and not to Ukraine.